2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Picks, Betting Odds, Favorites and Sleepers for Pebble Beach
When opportunity strikes twice, make sure to capture it at least the second time.
For Luke List, he did exactly that. In 2018, List found himself in a playoff with Justin Thomas at The Honda Classic. Unfortunately, he lost on the first hole after missing the green on his approach shot. This past week, he was in the same scenario and put his approach to within a foot to take the Farmers Insurance Open away from Will Zalatoris and secure his first win on Tour.
As for the picks, we are inching closer back to normal service. Favorite Hideki Matsuyama fought his way back to relevancy with a final round 68 but missed the top-20 by a couple of strokes. Midrange pick Brooks Koepka missed the cut, but sleeper Justin Rose secured our first top-10 of the year in consistent fashion.
Up the California coast this week is the annual AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am or better known as the “Crosby Clambake” to locals. Due to COVID-19 protocols last year, only two courses were used, and the pro-am portion was scrapped. This year, the celebrities are back in the fold along with the normal mix of Spyglass Hill, Monterey Peninsula and Pebble Beach for the first three rounds and everyone playing Pebble for the final round. This is a weaker field than normal with many of the world’s top players at the Saudi International, so it could be an opportunity for a player lower on the odds board to make a splash.
According to SI Sportsbook, World no. 4 and California-native Patrick Cantlay is the favorite at +700. To follow is defending champion Daniel Berger at +1400. Next up is last week’s runner-up in Will Zalatoris at +1600. To close out the notables are Pebble Beach specialist Jason Day and three-time major winner Jordan Spieth at +2000.
For our favorite, we’re going to step slightly outside of the notables and take Maverick McNealy at +2500. McNealy would be the defending champion this week if it weren’t for Daniel Berger’s eagle to secure the title last year. More recently, McNealy owns another second-place finish at the Fortinet Championship to begin his run of finishing in the top-30 in six of his last eight starts. He’s currently fourth in scoring average and is heading to a place where he gained more than eight shots on the field from tee-to-green last year. Look for McNealy to be high up on the leaderboard again this week.
For a value midrange pick, Mito Pereira at +5000 looks tasty. This man was on fire near the end of last season with three wins on the Korn Ferry Tour to propel him onto the PGA Tour. He then followed that up with T-6 at the 3M Open, T-5 at the Barbasol Championship, T-4 at the Olympics, and third at the Fortinet Championship. In four of his last five starts, he has finished in the top-30 each time and his third Korn Ferry win also came at a pro-am event. Pereira is building towards something, and this might be the week to shine with a subdued field.
For a sleeper, Matt Kuchar feels right at +6000. He quietly had a solid fall, never finishing worse than T-37 and having it culminate with a T-7 finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii to begin 2022. While Kuchar is certainly not a horse for the course, he should absolutely continue his cut streak this week because he’s only missed it once in his last eight tries at the Clambake. With a more manageable field in front of him along with shorter tracks, Kuchar should be full of confidence to continue his upward trend.
2021-22 picks scoreboard:
Winners: 1
Top 5s: 4
Top 10s: 1
Top 20s: 1
Here are some notable odds for the AT&T, according to SI Sportsbook:
- Patrick Cantlay +700
- Daniel Berger +1200
- Will Zalatoris +1600
- Jason Day +2000
- Jordan Spieth +2000
- Justin Rose +2500
- Maverick McNealy +2500
- Cameron Tringale +2500
- Seamus Power +2800
- Matt Fitzpatrick +3300
- Kevin Streelman +4000
- Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4000
- Brian Harman +4000
- Ryan Palmer +4000
- Denny McCarthy +4000
- Kevin Kisner +4500
- Lanto Griffin +4500
- Mito Pereira +5000
- Mackenzie Hughes +5000
- Matt Kuchar +5000
- Tom Hoge +5000
- Min Woo Lee +5000
- Matt Jones +5000
- Michael Thompson +5500
- Andrew Putnam +6600
- Lucas Glover +6600
- Charley Hoffman +6600
- Nick Taylor +6600
- Dean Burmester +6600
- Chris Kirk +6600
- Russell Knox +7000
- Cameron Champ +8000
- Adam Hadwin +8000
- Troy Merritt +8000
- Chez Reavie +8000
- Aaron Rai +8000
- Joel Dahmen +8000
- Brendon Todd +8000
- Patrick Rodgers +8000
- Brandt Snedeker +8000
- Alex Smalley +10000
- Stewart Cink +10000
- Matthias Schwab +10000
- Sahith Theegala +10000
- Matthew NeSmith +10000
- Brandon Harkins +10000
- Scott Stallings +10000
- Pat Perez +10000
- Taylor Moore +10000
- Keith Mitchell +10000
- Chad Ramey +12500
- Vincent Whaley +12500
- Taylor Penrith +12500
- Wyndham Clark +12500
- Joseph Bramlett +15000
- Scott Piercy +15000
- Hayden Buckley +15000
- Kevin Chappell +15000
- Kyle Stanley +15000
- Ryan Armour +15000
- Vaughn Taylor +15000
- Davis Riley +15000
- Adam Svensson +15000
- Kiradech Aphibarnrat +15000
- Ryan Moore +15000
- Greyson Sigg +15000
- Doc Redman +15000
- Charl Schwartzel +15000
- Dylan Frittelli +15000
- J.J. Spaun +15000
- Cameron Percy +15000
- Brian Gay +15000
- Aaron Baddeley +20000
- Lee Hodges +20000
- James Hahn +20000
- Austin Eckroat +20000
- Stephan Jaeger +20000
- David Lipsky +20000
- Nick Hardy +20000
- Andrew Landry +20000
- Mark Hubbard +20000
- Camilo Villegas +20000
- Nate Lashley +20000