NFL Week 11 DFS Bargain Picks: Banking on a Few Backups

Brock Purdy, 49ers

Last week, the 49ers roared back after the bye, with Purdy tossing three touchdowns with nearly 300 passing yards. This week, he gets the Tampa Bay defense that allowed 470 yards and five touchdowns to rookie C.J. Stroud two weeks ago. Kyle Shanahan should have no trouble planning for his QB to have a nice day.

Kyler Murray, Cardinals

Murray looked good in his first game back and his mobility didn’t seem at all diminished, which was the best sign of all. This week’s matchup with Houston isn’t the easiest, but across the past three contests, Houston has allowed the 13th-most points to opposing QBs, so Kyler should present value at his salary.

Devin Singletary, Texans

Singletary carried the ball 30 times last Sunday vs. the Bengals, and ended up with 161 all-purpose yards. Dameon Pierce continues not to practice, and this matchup with the Cardinals is excellent as they have allowed the third-most DFS points to running backs this year. Arizona won’t be able to stack the box as they will be worried about the threat of Stroud in the passing game, and Singletary could easily have another big day.

Kareem Hunt, Browns

Yes, Jerome Ford looks like the lead back in this offense, but for this salary it’s worth a gamble on Hunt in case he keeps up his scoring streak. Hunt has now scored in five consecutive games for a total of six touchdowns across the last five. The Steelers have allowed the 10th-most DFS points to runners this year and an average of 111 rushing yards per game.

Rico Dowdle, Cowboys

This worked well for us last week, and we are going to try it again. The Panthers are arguably the best matchup this year for running backs, having allowed a league-leading 13 rushing touchdowns and an average of 118 rushing yards per game. Assuming Dallas gets out to a big lead, they could easily turn the game over to Dowdle in the fourth quarter. In addition, there’s no reason to think Dowdle might also see more carries and goal-line work earlier in the game as Tony Pollard has been struggling.

Romeo Doubs, Packers

Doubs has caught a touchdown in three of the last four games and remains the most dependable receiver for the Packers with a 20% target share. This week he faces a Chargers team that has allowed the fifth-most DFS points to wideouts this year.

Brandin Cooks, Cowboys

Going into last Sunday’s game, Cooks had accumulated only 163 receiving yards for the season. He more than doubled that number vs. the Giants, catching nine of his 10 targets for 173 yards and a score. WIth the threat of Lamb, there’s a chance the Panthers are softer in coverage of Cooks, who could break off a big play or two.

Jahan Dotson, Commanders

Did you see what the Cowboys did to this secondary last weekend? Six different players recorded a touchdown. That means there could be enough to go around for a few Commanders players. Sam Howell likes to spread the ball around, and no team has dropped back more this season (444), so Dotson could be a nice contrarian play.

Luke Musgrave, Packers

Musgrave had a career-high 64 receiving yards on Sunday, catching two of his four targets. He’s had two big games in a row after scoring a touchdown in Week 9 and catching three of four targets for 51 yards. No team has allowed more receiving yards to tight ends than the Chargers, who have also allowed a 78.7% catch rate to the position.

Tyler Conklin, Jets

The Bills have allowed three passing touchdown passes to tight ends across the last four games, and they are also allowing nearly 60 yards per game across that span. Conklin has seen 13 targets for 136 yards across the last two games played.